NFL Picks & Notes For The Smart Fan

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NFL Picks & Notes

WASHINGTON, D.C. – The NFL Finish Line will be crossed tonight at around 11:15 p.m. EST as the NFC East crowns its champion. One of two loathsome owners will be glad-handing and smiling, while all fans other than those of  the Cowboys and Redskins will be bringing up their dinner. But enough about that, let’s get to my NFL Picks

Had former Steelers LB Joey Porter been visiting MTM on Sunday’s for gambling advice, he wouldn’t be $70K in the hole to the Las Vegas Hard Rock Casino. Further, if Tim Geitner and the Treasury had been using my pick, the nation wouldn’t be heading for Fiscal Cliffs and R.A. Dickey would still be a Met… Here’s the skinny on my 38-19 (67%) record:
Favorites: 11-4 Underdogs: 10-4 Over: 5-9 Under: 12-2

FAVORITE: Why is it being said that the Giants have a slim shot at making the playoffs? A scenario where two underdogs (Cowboys and Vikings) lose along with a shaky road favorite (Bears) is very much possible. The hook is trying to get the Giants to win their game against the Eagles provided the way they’re playing most recently. At -7 the Giants top the menu of this last slate of regular season games because a rusty Mike Vick is sure to be out of sync with the offense and more importantly his receivers. Andy Reid’s offensive philosophy of passing the rock two out of three times doesn’t take advantage of McCoy and Bryce Brown on the ground against a suspect run defense, either. A last home game rout gives the Giants confidence moving forward in case the dominoes fall their way. NY -7 is the pick.

UNDERDOG: Aside from the AFC playoff bound teams none other will be above the .500 mark as only two have a chance to achieve an 8-8 record this week—one a disappointment (Steelers) and the other (Dolphins) a surprise. Miami, with its freshman Head Coach and QB, was picked by many to vie for the #1 overall pick in April’s draft. A bettor never feels great about a warm-weather team travelling north in December/January but when you throw 10 points his way and a team’s motivation of getting even at 8-8 gimme the ‘Fins (+10) at New England with a shot at the upset.

dolphins-cheerleadersOVER: As I double-dipped with success (Ravens & Under) in the Giants game last week, I’m going in one more time to fill the same chip. Vick’s turnovers can shorten the field or lead directly to points and Eli Manning is bound to have an excellent game (he’s so due!) to erase the sour taste of a month of duds. At 46, the Giants can threaten the OVER themselves as the Eagles help push the total around the mid-50’s. Giants/Eagles go OVER 46.

UNDER: Odds-makers are forecasting a power outage up in the Pacific Northwest today as the total on Rams/Seahawks is 41 ½ points. The Seahawks are scoring at Wilt Chamberlain’s off-the-court pace – 50 per the last three outings – while Ram devotees like Grote2DMax, Tall Matt & Cam James seen their boys sitting their best offensive foot forward lately. A relatively low number given the circumstances means something’s up and it ain’t the points in this one. STL/SEA UNDER 41 ½.

I’ll be posting playoff picks with a mini column on Saturdays and Sundays during the playoffs provided I think a selection or two is worth your investment.

Tune in tomorrow for The Pontificating Public Professor.

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About the Author ()

A man amongst men. Cheesy Bruin kicked cancer to the curb - twice. The Cheese Man's a big, tough teddy-bear who survived the Bronx despite being an unabashed Boston Bruins fan and Sargent-At-Arms for Angry Ward's Urban Spur Posse. Nuff said. Doctors have taken most of this throat and had to make him a new tongue from thigh-meat (his own) and still he won't shut up about the Bruins, Cowboys, Pirates and Cleveland Cavaliers. And yes, his kids do love him.
  • http://twitter.com/Cookies_Corner Cookies Corner

    You know Cheesy… I have the same thought about the Giants. They win and then they can count on a few other teams to lose and get them in. It’s ridiculous… and it will happen. Ridiculous.

    • http://twitter.com/CheesyBruin Cheesy Bruin

      Hey Cookie, if I had to put odds on all the chips falling the Giants way today it would probably be somewhere around 8-1 and that means a legimate shot at happening. Why more people, even Giants fans, don’t share our opinion is befuddling.

      • http://meetthematts.com/ Meet The Matts

        Cheese Man, take your subliminal reverse psychology Cowboy kindness and stick it where the sun don’t shine.

        • http://twitter.com/CheesyBruin Cheesy Bruin

          I didn’t say the Giants were a good team or anything, as a matter of fact they pretty much suck–same as last year when they were 9-7! No kindness implied. Is that better?

    • Yankee Joe

      The Blowboys will lose and the GIANTS WILL GET IN

      • http://meetthematts.com/ Meet The Matts

        Stay classy, Joe!

      • http://twitter.com/CheesyBruin Cheesy Bruin

        Yep. Due to injuries, the Cowboys have more holes on defense than the Yankees roster.

  • Baseball Lifer

    Take the G-Men. They will at least make you some money if they don’t make the playoffs. But I don’t understand the R.A. Dickey part!

    • http://meetthematts.com/ Meet The Matts

      We’d love for the Jints to make it but it’s not likely. Unlike Yankee fans, we’re okay with other teams winning once and while… We’d root for a Comeback Super Bowl, featuring Cookie’s beloved Broncos and Peyton’s neck vs Angry Ward’s Vikings and Adrian’s knee… We’d be screaming “Yo, Adrian!” during that Big Game… As for the R.A. Dickey reference, Cheesy Bruin does take quite a bit of of pain medication to help him deal with the NHL lockout, so that might have some correlation.

  • jgclancy

    Go Vikings!!!!! Just win and they’re in! Of course they play the Packers which is a big problem but if Ponder can throw for over 200 yards they can do it. Super Bowl , baby!

  • http://rugbywrapup.com/ RugbyWrapUp

    Keep in mind their wouldn’t be any of this gridiron chatter if it weren’t for Webb Ellis! That said, don’t forget to check out “D.J. Eberle’s NFL Picks & News for Rugby Heads”
    http://rugbywrapup.com/2012/12/nfl-picks-news-for-rugby-heads

    • jgclancy

      What’s rugby?

  • http://ThePublicProfessor.com The Public Professor

    I expect a breakdown of your final record next week.

  • Doc DIz

    RG III is going to light up the Cowboys. Packers will beat the Vikes. Bears blow it against the Lions. Big Blue cheese weasles in.

  • http://twitter.com/JunoirBlaber Junoir Blaber

    Vikings did just enough. Congrats AW!!

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