POUGHKEEPSIE, NY – Last week’s 3-1 NFL Picks record, along with my dead-on analysis (you can’t be humble in handicapping), is in the rear-view mirror.
Now the NFL ushers in the its last three weeks, or what that I like to call Playoff Mania. With that comes all the over-kill commentary about how many impact games are being played today. No sh!t. But have you seen how horrendous the late games are outside of Steelers at Cowboys? But back to biz…
Usually picks aren’t ironed out until Saturday morning, but today’s Favorite and Underdog for this week’s 4 Can’t-Miss NFL Picks were clear at first glance. So, without further ado, adding to the year’s 33-16 win-loss record are…
The AFC’S meaningless Battle of Florida – Jacksonville at Miami – can have a pocketful of meaning as Jaguars QB Chad Henne was a Miami Dolphins second-round draft pick during the Bill Parcells GM regime. Henne was quickly jettisoned by new Head Coach, Joe Philbin. The same way you stick it to an ex by parading arm candy in full view, Henne will be aiming to hang a serious number on his ex team. But note -I’m one of the few who thinks Henne can be a decent signal-caller in this league. That said, I’m certain he’ll keep his teammates within the healthy Vegas spread. Jacksonville Jaguars +7 ½ .
The Atlanta Falcons have been as vulnerable as ovulating women around Antonio Rodgers-Cromartie. At home the Dirty Birds fended off the mighty Panthers by 2, Raiders by 3 and Cardinals by 4. Now they are fresh off of a 30-20 loss at Carolina, which wasn’t as remotely close as the score. Atlanta’s signature win came back in Week #2 versus the Peyton Manning-tutoring Broncos, 27-21. The other Manning strolls into the Dome with the Giants with the Falcons desperately needing to play their best football to feel good about playoff positioning and championship dreams. After blowing their load on the Saints, I figure the Giants have one Mulligan left as RGIII hobbles and the Cowboys are, well… the Cowboys. Look for the Jints to use that Mulligan today as Atlanta “announces their presence and avenge last year’s playoff loss. Atlanta -1 ½.
For a change, there is great confidence in today’s OVER selection. A successful gambler knows how to read the odds-making tea leaves without knowing player’s names. Trust me as you bet the KC/Oakland game… OVER 43 ½.
The race for the AFC South crown heats up as the Texans host Indy. The Colts have been an UNDER play when their opponents feature a sound running game. Houston boasts one of the better ground attacks in the NFL. Throw in the fact that they just got tuned up by Tom Brady and the defense will be chomping at the bit to get at Andrew Luck in the form of blitzes, blitzes and more blitzes. UNDER 48 is the play.
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