MARLBORO, NY – The blind squirrel found a nut last week, as I had a long-awaited winning week, going 3-1 with Cheesy Bruin’s FREE NFL Picks segment that saw a slight uptick on the season record to 28-36. The penultimate week of the NFL season is here already and I’m still looking for betting angles for you to consider.
FAVORITE Baker Mayfield is a franchise quarterback and the Cleveland Browns are on the ascent because of him. With a solid young running back in Nick Chubb and a versatile tight end like David Njoku, there are pieces in place for Mayfield to work with as his development occurs on a weekly basis. The Browns have a shot at a .500 record, and that says a lot after their sluggish start that saw a shakeup and the firings of a head coach and offensive coordinator. When’s the last time you saw the Dawg Pounders favored by double digits? It’s been a while and Vegas knows this is a blowout. The Pick: CLEVELAND -10 over Cincinnati
UNDERDOG Last week I told of the tale about when all of the money is riding on one side to go the opposite way, when the total in the NE/PITT game rose by 4.5 points. If you listened to this logic you won, as the contest went way under. This week there is quite a bit of action on the Miami Dolphins, who are a stout 6-1 at home and the team holds onto playoff hopes. Jacksonville comes in with a scrub at quarterback, are a woeful 1-5 on the road during their disappointing season after their post season run in 2018. Miami is only favored by 3.5 here and that raises a red flag considering how much the game means for the Fins and how little it impacts the Jags who have folded up the tent. No pun intended but something smells extremely fishy. The Pick: Jacksonville +3.5 over MIAMI
OVER I’m bucking the trends in the Bills/Patriots game today and strictly going on a gut feeling. Both of these teams have gone 5-9 to the UNDER this year. What??? The once-daunting Pats offense has burned a lot of gamblers money in the process while the Bills have relied on defense in trying to stay competitive. Tom Brady is due for a four touchdown, 350 yard plus game and this one should get ugly in a 42-13 kind of way. The Pick: Buffalo/NEW ENGLAND OVER 44.5
UNDER To Kyle Shanahan’s credit, the Niners have stayed competitive, even with third string quarterback Nick Mullens taking snaps under center. Today is a tough task for any offensive mind, as the Chicago Bears come into Levi’s Stadium with a pinned back ears defense led by University at Buffalo legend Khalil Mack–and that Roquan Smith is a terror at linebacker, too. As the Monsters of the Midway dial it up on defense, the offense should keep things on the ground with Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen and not risk throwing the ball all that much in what should be an easy game for the visitors. The Pick: Chicago/SAN FRANCISCO UNDER 43
That’s it… Feel free to comment below and come back for a Christmas Eve gift from Buddy Diaz.